August 2006 Weddings
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WI, CO, FL

On FiveThirtyEight it shows these states leaning (rather than just tilting) blue. CNN is still calling these states a toss up. What do you think? Anyone from these states have insight into which way it will actually go? Is CNN hesitant to call these states, or is 538 jumping the gun?

Re: WI, CO, FL

  • I don't think WI is really that much of a swing state this year. If you go on electoral-vote.com and click on the state, you can see the graphs. It's been consistently blue for a while now.
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  • My hunch is that Wisconsin will definitely go blue, Florida will definitely go red, and Colorado is more of a toss up, but I think it will go blue.
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  • imagePescalita:
    My hunch is that Wisconsin will definitely go blue, Florida will definitely go red, and Colorado is more of a toss up, but I think it will go blue.

    I agree with this :)

    Although if FL did go blue I think we would have a landslide on our hands and I would be a happy camper!

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  • I'll be in Colorado soon, fighting the good fight :)

    What makes it such a toss up is that there's both a crazy anti-choice bill, actually one that's so far beyond anti-choice and into batshit crazy territory, as well as an anti-affirmative action bill on the ballot.  Who knows what kind of effect that will have.

    FL, I'm not so sure.  I don't know what local elections and ballot measures they have.  I do know that despite not living there for over 10 years and having registered in 4 other states since, my name is apparently still on the ballot list.  Yay for reliable voting records!

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