August 2006 Weddings
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Just did my morning check of electoral-vote.com and somehow North Dakota is suddenly leaning blue! You can click back the previous day and it was strong red. WTF?! (Not that I'm complaining...)
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Re: North Dakota?!
Well there are, what? 200 people there? So 10 people changing their minds back and forth can cause that type of swing.
(kidding! I heart North Dakotans!)
"As of page 2 this might be the most boring argument ever. It's making me long for Rape Day." - Mouse
Are there any other red states that have not been polled recently?
I checked out 538 and electoral-vote.com
States that were last polled in the third week of Sept that are considered "strong McCain": Wyoming, Utah, South Dakota, South Carolina, Louisiana, Kentucky, Kansas, Indiana, Arkansas. Some of these are like 20-30 point leads, but a few are in the teens and/or had results not long before that in the single digits. Kansas was McCain +12 on 9/22 (similar to ND's +13 lead on 9/17). Louisiana was +15 on 9/25. South Dakota was +16 on 9/20. South Carolina is a longer shot, with +19 on 9/22.
Also, even more states were polled in the last couple of days of September. I'm not sure if the financial crisis was fully realized by that time. And some of those that fall into that category (such as Mississippi) were only putting McCain ahead in the single digits.
another example: Arizona only had McCain leading by 7 points on 9/27 and 14 on 9/29 (that one was Rasmussen).
Utah, Indiana and Wyoming are the only ones that haven't been polled recently that I think will probably still be safely McCain. (leads were at or over 20 points).
"As of page 2 this might be the most boring argument ever. It's making me long for Rape Day." - Mouse