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I was having a tweet war with some people over them. And prompted me saying this "Where has the competition gone? Why don't teams WANT hard schedules? There would be zero doubt of #boisestate's talent then#thoughtoftheday"
Well. What do you think?
Re: Boise State
I can only speak to basketball, but the thought process for football may be the same.
With Big East basketball (where H used to work), the conference itself is already very tough and physical. Conference play for the Big East (in basketball) starts in late December and extends through early March, ending with the conference tourney. Non-conference is usually November and December. You want to have SOME tough opponents in non-conference to test the mettle of your players and work through adjustments so you're ready for conference play. You also want some cakewalks to give your starters a rest and to give your second string/younger players some playing time and get used to the game.
Now going back to the argument with Boise State, Boise State has a fairly easy conference and to pump up their BSC standing in a non-BSC conference, they have to schedule tough opponents. However, that notwithstanding, football schedules are set 3-4 and sometimes 5-10 years ahead of schedule (though the turnaround is getting faster with TV deals). If you look at the BSU schedule for the 2011 season, their non-conference is already set, with Ole Miss, Toledo, and Tulsa for September. The already also have part of 2012 set up.
So part of the "hard scheduling" is to give the team a rest, and the other part of it is a crap shoot on who's good and who's not 2-3 years from now.
I agree with roar - most of the schedule is set 2 yrs ahead, so they are guessing.
Tuesday Morning Quarterback (espn.com) always rails against college coaches that are lauded as successful by having a winning season when most of the schedule is geared for the powerhouse teams to easily achieve a winning season (ie, a robot could get to 8-4 in many conferences).