Politics & Current Events
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Our tech team has launched updates to The Nest today. As a result of these updates, members of the Nest Community will need to change their password in order to continue participating in the community. In addition, The Nest community member's avatars will be replaced with generic default avatars. If you wish to revert to your original avatar, you will need to re-upload it via The Nest.
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Which way will your state go?
Where is it at right now?
I live in Iowa and its a toss up state.
Re: Which way will your state go?
Well, I currently live in Oklahoma, so that'll be as red as can be.
However, my permanent address is in Ohio (we're military) and I'll be voting absentee there instead of in OK, so yay for a battleground 'every vote counts' state!
There was an analyst on CNN this evening who said it was going to come down to Virginia. He's the only person I heard say that, but you never know - you could end up at the center of the US political universe.
Forbes had an article about VA's role, specifically Fairfax County and Northern VA. You have a large concentration of Dems and/or defense jobs here. We have been insulated somewhat from the recession. And both sides are making hard plays for women voters.
Where I live...Blue all the way (Illinois)
Where I'm from...Swing (Ohio)
I'm jealous. H is a GA resident, and I'm in CA. Neither of our blue votes really do much for national elections.
I live in Texas. Red meat dunked in sweet n sour sauce & served with siracha. Red. Red. Red. But ATX is gonna be BLUE, baby!
There's actually some hope in the next few cycles that we can go pink, then purple, with all the voter registration that's happening righ tnow.
Yeah Austin! The only city in Texas I could enjoy living in.
I lived in El Paso for ~18 months. Not a bad place in a 'this isn't really Texas, it should really be part of New Mexico' sort of way. Actually, I miss it a lot- best Indian food I've ever had was in El Paso, of all places. Who woulda thought?
In NICU for one week born 7-6-11
MDC- 10-2-96 CEC- 4-12-98 EEC- 3-10-01
It's a total tossup, under 1% differential. I don't know how it will go. I think that there's going to be enough voters in the southern portion of my state to overcome the differential in the urban areas.
I really don't know. I am surprised that it took my state so long to close in the polls, but I am somewhat reassured by the two past reliable polls that have it the closest ever. This will be 2004 or 2000 all over again---certainly not 2008.
I wonder if somebody ever answered my question about how the generic congressional ballot and Obama-Romney race can be tied, the four key swing states 1.4% differential or under, and the person still says the election was over and Obama will win and definitely without a doubt keep the Senate. No...
It may very well come down to Virginia, but it has few enough electoral votes that there are alternate routes if it's lost. With Ohio and Florida, it's way more dicey.
Michigan is much more than the Detroit area.
It has traditionally been a strongly Dem. state, however is now only leaning Dem. There is a good possibility of it going for Romney (we did replace our former Dem Gov for a Republican just a few years ago). We still have a high unemployement rate.
I think Romney was right and they should have just filed for Bankruptcy and reorganized. With the Gov't reorganization many dealerships were closed, retired GM employees had cuts in their pensions & benefits, bond holders were ignored in the settlement, but the unions made out well. GM stock is 1/2 what it was once worth and they still have not repaid all the money back -- meanwhile giving millions to soccer teams in Europe.
Bankruptcy does not mean close - think of the many Airlines that have gone bankrupt and still kep their planes flying. Happens all the time.
The Michigan race is narrowing. The Hoekstra Senate race went from leaning Dem to tossup not too long ago. Michigan's considered a tossup on quite a few maps.
There are a lot of states that are very close. It's really hard to tell how Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and Wisconsin will go, and the election will be decided in those states. (I left out Indiana, Missouri, and North Carolina due to my opinion that they will go R, and I left out Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Michigan because I think they'll go D.)
edited: Nevada D as well
I look at the polling for Colorado as evidence that it's closing, but yeah, in my gut I think it'll go D. It's already resisted two GOP wave elections when Coors and Buck lost.
I'm in Iowa and I think we'll go blue this election. There is still a lot of love for Obama out there. The farm/insurance/older generation still seem to be mostly conservative, but you've got a good mix of both sides.
I dunno, I see IA as more liberal than conservative overall, though.
LOLOLOLOL to the bolded! Oh, no. So funny. Hoekstra is toast. You really have no clue, do you?
Michigan goes blue. That's a guarantee. The republican legislature in this state ruined any chances of it going red.
Anecdotal evidence: I just came back from the UP and was shocked to see some formerly passionate republican voters sporting "Educators for Obama" t-shirts. Michigan is a done deal.
Sorry that I am going by the RCP average that is usually right rather than your anecdotal. Who the hell are you to challenge ME? I don't even know who you are, and as far as I know you haven't said much of anything of substance on this board.
Honey, are you one of those poor bitter souls who didn't see the 63-House seat, 6 Senate-seat slaughter coming? Poor dear.
The anecdotal evidence about educators doesn't do much of your cause. Most activist teachers are so brain-dead that they'd vote for UBL on the Democratic line. I mentioned the Hoekstra race because it moved from leaning dem to tossup on the RealClearPolitics, which signals movement. There were at least one or two polls to warrant that movement. Sorry if that doesn't square with your "I saw two people at Walmart who were for Obama; therefore, it's over" type of evidence.
As I said in another thread, everybody has an anecdote.
(You seem more like a dimwitted Bumpie than someone who really analyzes politics with your "LOLOL." So either go back to the union hall or make sure you take notes when your middle school teacher talks about formal language usage.)