Politics & Current Events
In Florida, We Ask America found Romney with a 49-46 percent lead, good for a six-point swing in the Republican nominee's favor from the polling firm's survey conducted in late September.
The RCP average now shows Obama and Romney tied in Florida.
Florida and Ohio are two of the biggest swing-state prizes, with 29 and 18 electoral votes at stake, respectively.
And in Virginia, both polling firms found Romney with an advantage. We Ask America gave Romney the greater edge, finding the Republican challenger leading the president 48-45 percent. Rasmussen, meanwhile, gave Romney a 49-48 percent lead.
Those surveys were the first polls since early September to give Romney a lead in that state. Romney and running mate Paul Ryan campaigned in Virginia on Thursday night, and both Obama and Romney were holding rallies in the state on Friday.
The candidates are tied at 47 in Virginia, according to the RCP average of polls.
Ohio, Florida and Virginia are three of the twelve states President Bush won in 2004 that President Obama took in 2008, and they will be critical in determining the outcome of the 2012 election.
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Polls Show Big Romney Gains in Swing States
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/260511-polls-show-romney-making-swing-state-charge
Polls show Romney making headway in swing states
By Justin Sink and Jonathan Easley
-
10/05/12 12:22 PM ET
A set of new swing-state polls show Mitt Romney making big
gains in three critical battleground states just two days after the
Republican nominee's widely-heralded debate performance.
The
polls ? from conservative-leaning Rasmussen and We Ask America ? showed
Romney closing the gap or leading in Ohio, Florida and Virginia, three
states the GOP candidate would likely need to capture to win the White
House. And they represent a dramatic reversal from last week, where
polls showed President Obama with a commanding lead.
In Ohio, the
We Ask America poll gave Romney a 47-46 percent edge over the
president, while Rasmussen flipped those results, giving Obama a 50-49
percent lead. Both polling firms completed the sampling for their survey
Thursday, in the aftermath of Wednesday's shaky debate for the
president.
A number of polls before the debates showed Obama extending his lead in
the Buckeye State to as much as 8, 9 or 10 points. Obama now leads
Romney by 3 in Ohio, according to the Real Clear Politics average of
polls. (JulieF---keep in mind this includes the 8-point Obama lead from NBC/WSJ/Marist that is way out there.)
In Florida, We Ask America found Romney with a 49-46 percent lead, good for a six-point swing in the Republican nominee's favor from the polling firm's survey conducted in late September.
The RCP average now shows Obama and Romney tied in Florida.
Florida and Ohio are two of the biggest swing-state prizes, with 29 and 18 electoral votes at stake, respectively.
And in Virginia, both polling firms found Romney with an advantage. We Ask America gave Romney the greater edge, finding the Republican challenger leading the president 48-45 percent. Rasmussen, meanwhile, gave Romney a 49-48 percent lead.
Those surveys were the first polls since early September to give Romney a lead in that state. Romney and running mate Paul Ryan campaigned in Virginia on Thursday night, and both Obama and Romney were holding rallies in the state on Friday.
The candidates are tied at 47 in Virginia, according to the RCP average of polls.
Ohio, Florida and Virginia are three of the twelve states President Bush won in 2004 that President Obama took in 2008, and they will be critical in determining the outcome of the 2012 election.
"I want the left to know they screwed with the wrong guy."
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Re: Polls Show Big Romney Gains in Swing States
The polls are really weird. It's strange how some of the tracking polls are close, but the Senate polls are not. I am not even going to follow the election until way after the first round of exit polls, which could be way off. I probably will get online around 7 or 8.
Senate may be 50-50.
Frankly, this doesn't surprise me. I think there are a great majority of people out there whose main concern is the economy, and after the first debate, feel more confident in Romney than Obama. I hope Obama steps up, because while I don't think he is a great debator, I think he is intelligent and can surely overcome what seemed to be tremendous nerves and lack of preparation that was evident in the first debate.
It should be really interesting to see the next two.
Thanks for posting something I can actually read, rather than a vague reference to Yahoo comments.
This race will definitely be very, very close. It's an important election.
This is a very interesting race. I think anything can happen. Both candidates must stay on top of their game and reach out to as many people as possible. I can't wait til November. The suspense is killing me!!
Obviously, I want Romney to win but regardless of who wins, this economy must turn around. It's been dismal for too long.
I know, I feel its gotten better but has kind of flat lined for awhile now
I have a different view. It wasn't "tremendous nerves" but rather a lack of nerves, an idea that he could play it safe, show up, that the election's already over. He bought into the media narrative, forgetting that there are 30 days to go. He thought the race is over. It's not. I think the next debate is important, and I am worried that the media has pre-cooked a "rise of Obama, the magic's back" narrative that could dent any momentum Romney has up to that point.
I feel like the media is going to be predisposed to say "Obama's back, he's fired up and ready to go again" and give him the victory even if Romney looks very good. They want the resurrection storyline.
I am going to have to stay up late again and watch the debate for myself because I sure won't believe what the pundits tell me after the second presidential debate. I stayed up late watching the first one and was pleasantly surprised when the instant feedback on Twitter and later feedback by the panels matched what I saw in the debate, which was a clear Romney victory. He looked great and was even greater when paired with a listless and off-his-game Obama who spoke haltingly, looked tired and like he didn't want to be there, and was not in full command of facts or arguments.
I agree with this take on Obama during the debate. I also
think he (and his handlers) wrongly assumed Romney would
put his foot in his mouth, and they sat back and waited for it.
The narrative had taken hold that this was over, that Romney was toast, so it's like Obama didn't want to sully himself by getting into a fight with Romney. So he didn't bring up the 47%, Bain Capital, etc.
He seemed listless, like he didn't care. Obama might have a problem because this electorate is way different than 2012, probably fewer minorities and young people. The excitement this time for the most part is on the Republican side. The PPP poll said that Republicans were 8 or 9% more excited in Wisconsin, to name just one state. Independents are also trending for Romney in some of the key swing states.
Romney won the first debate, and in a decisive enough manner to actually move the polls. It's looking like he got roughly a 2% bounce, which almost halved Obama's sizable lead.
In essence, Romney would have been toast if he didn't put up an extremely strong debate performance. He did just that, so he's still in the game, but I'm sticking to my football analogy. 4th quarter, down by 21, Romney threw a touchdown pass. You can celebrate if you want, but Romney is still down by 14 without much time left on the clock.
The Senate is still really tough for the Republicans due to Akin looking dead in the water. 50-50 is possible, but right now the most likely scenario still looks like 50 dems, 49 republicans, 1 Angus King (who is not going to vote with the Republicans on many issues).
Disagree. The independents are going mainly for Romney, and there's diminished Democratic turnout plus a Republican base that is newly jazzed. Even Nate Silver did what I didn't think was possible, which was to put a key swing state in the Romney column. (Florida)
The polls are looking good for Romney, and sometimes the Democratic sample, like the D+9 for the ARG Ohio poll, is just ridiculous.
Missouri will be interesting. I too thought Akin was dead in the water, but there's a new scandal involving McCaskill's husband that has been covered on RCP and other sites. I think that she's an unpopular senator, Missouri is a Romney state, so a "hold your nose and vote for Akin" win is possible.
North Dakota is another one of those states...
that's my state. LOL. we got our campaign signs and I told DH not to get the Aiken one. I don't want his sign in our yard. I'm NOT a fan of mcCaskill at all. Not going to lie, I will probably hold my nose
I'm glad you're not advertising for him.
But what make McCaskill so bad that you'd even begrudgingly vote for a guy that would side with a rapist over a rape victim?
What's fascinating about NoDak is it was supposed to be an easy Republican pick-up this year, and instead it has turned into a close race.
You're right that McCaskill isn't exactly popular, and again, MO was supposed to be an easy Republican pick-up, but they nominated a TEA Party backed weak candidate (Akin) rather than a stronger establishment candidate.
Honestly, it's refreshing to have the Republicans be the party who keeps shooting themselves in the foot these days. For most of the past couple of decades that has been the Democrats jobs.
I really was hoping they would kick him out of running and get another republican candidate. I'm thinking I may just leave it blank. I'm voting republican the whole way
I really was hoping they would kick him out of running and get another republican candidate. I'm thinking I may just leave it blank. I'm voting republican the whole way
true. I just can't vote for a democrat this election.
True. Akin 2012: Denying Rape Victims Justice and Health Care
CoffeeBeen, I like your pic from GWTW. On the other hand, I tried a whole season of Arrested Development and was so bored.
Not denying health care as much as preserving the health care that millions of Americans like...
Thanks! I think we can all agree that GWTW is an awesome movie, awesome book, awesome period.
I'm just saying' the old system denied health care for many so quid pro quo...
Plus, millions don't want the old system back.