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Romney leads in RCP average
It's only .7, but there's been a big shift. Virginia, Florida, and Ohio are now under 1%, and Romney is ahead by about the same in Colorado. Even the left-leaning PPP has Romney up now. I think a lot of the swing states are tightening or heading Romney's way, and I wonder if Obama hasn't sold people by now... he might lose the majority of independents.
Had to laugh at the ARG poll that has Romney up in Ohio even with a D +9 sample. In what galaxy is the Ohio Democratic turnout going to be higher than in 2008? I think now the pollsters are being more realistic overall, though, because now they want to be right.
I'm happy that Michigan and Pennsylvania are tightening a little bit, but I hope Romney keeps the money elsewhere and isn't fooled. It'd be dumb to throw good money into Michigan and especially Pennsylvania. It'd be better in Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa...
I did see that in four swing states, Republicans are outpacing the Democrats in absentee requests. Florida's not really a huge surprise, but Colorado and Nevada? Interesting food for thought.
This is the first time in awhile that I thought Romney could actually win, but the media's going to really put forth the "Obama resurrection" storyline next week with the second debate.