Latest Unbiased Polls

catsareniice1

Are there any unbiased polls out there? If so, what site should I visit?

CoffeeBeen

Usually it takes several days to a week to see debate impact on polls, so "latest" isn't as real-time as you'd probably like.

 I like these ones:

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

catsareniice1

CoffeeBeen:

Usually it takes several days to a week to see debate impact on polls, so "latest" isn't as real-time as you'd probably like.

 I like these ones:

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

Thanks!

ohioloveyou

AndrewBreitbart got me to check out RCP every so often now.  It's pretty good.

LuckyDad

The best method is probably to look at an average of averages. It also can be helpful to compare one pollster's numbers from week to week. Rassmussen, for example, uses a model that assumes more Republican Likely voters while most of the other pollsters allow party identification to fluctuate from week to week. So the absolute numbers may vary, but if Rassmussen has Romney gaining 1% from their number the previous week, it suggests he did improve his polling situation.

AndrewBreitbart

I think that polls can be close or way off, so the best way is to look at the changes in a certain pollster's polls or (better yet) look at the poll averages, like on the RealClearPolitics average.

This year is really weird with polls because the national tracking polls show momentum for Mitt Romney, esp. a Gallup poll that has him up among likely voters 51-45.  On the other hand, state polls are not very favorable for Romney getting to 270.  He can hit around 240 or 250, but the Ohio numbers haven't really moved in his favor yet.  I don't think he's ever been up in Ohio in the average, and although Republicans are positive about Virginia, he is only sporadically up there.  Things need to fall in line for Romney more than for Obama for him to get to 270.

It's really hard to tell how Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, and one or two other states will go.  I've read that Wisconsin and New Hampshire are closing, and Iowa seems to be pretty close.  (I'm assuming NC and FL for Romney, as well as IN.)